Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 12

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Esperança de Lagos		Fabril do Barreiro

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.35
	2.85	3.1	2.23
	2.75	3.05	2.38
	3	3.07	2.43
	2.88	2.9	2.38
	2.88	3.15	2.3
	2.8	3.15	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.26)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.36 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esperança de Lagos
31.9%

Draw
29.6%

Fabril do Barreiro
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.3%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

29.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esperança de Lagos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Fabril do Barreiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esperança de Lagos than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabril do Barreiro than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Esperança de Lagos - Fabril do Barreiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Esperança de Lagos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fabril do Barreiro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fabril do Barreiro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Esperança de Lagos won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Esperança de Lagos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esperança de Lagos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Rabo de Peixe - Esperança de Lagos	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Esperança de Lagos - Angrense	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Atlético CP - Esperança de Lagos	5:1 ✺
20.11.22	Esperança de Lagos - Serpa	1:3 ✺
13.11.22	Lusitano GC - Esperança de Lagos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTLLT
- Fabril do Barreiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Fabril do Barreiro - Imortal	0:2 ✺
04.12.22	Praiense - Fabril do Barreiro	2:2 ✺
27.11.22	Fabril do Barreiro - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:0 ✺
20.11.22	Oriental Dragon - Fabril do Barreiro	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Fabril do Barreiro - Olhanense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.01.20	Esperança de Lagos - Fabril do Barreiro	1:0
18.08.19	Fabril do Barreiro - Esperança de Lagos	0:0

Esperança de Lagos - Fabril do Barreiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide