Match Info

NPL Victoria Women - Round 22

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Essendon Royals		Melbourne Victory U20

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.75	5.75
	1.28	5.35	6.9
	1.3	5.77	8.04
	1.33	5.21	6.86
	1.23	5.7	7.95
	1.33	5.7	6.51	Watch
	1.29	5.4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.54)	5.41 ↑ (3.95)	7 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Essendon Royals
70.1%

Draw
16.9%

Melbourne Victory U20
13.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.4%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

20.9%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Essendon Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Essendon Royals's performance.

Melbourne Victory U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Victory U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Royals than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Essendon Royals that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory U20 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Victory U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Essendon Royals - Melbourne Victory U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (5 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Recent performances by Essendon Royals have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

M Victory U20 is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

M Victory U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, M Victory U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Essendon Royals is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Essendon Royals Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
18.07.26	Melbourne City U20 - Essendon Royals	1:3 ✺
11.07.26	Essendon Royals - Keilor Park	3:0 ✺
03.07.26	Avondale - Essendon Royals	4:2 ✺
27.06.26	Essendon Royals - Bulleen Lions	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Essendon Royals - Alamein	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLLW
- Melbourne Victory U20 Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
19.07.26	Boroondara Eagles - Melbourne Victory U20	4:2 ✺
03.07.26	Melbourne Victory U20 - Box Hill United	1:5 ✺
27.06.26	Keilor Park - Melbourne Victory U20	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	South Melbourne - Melbourne Victory U20	1:1 ✺
06.06.26	Avondale - Melbourne Victory U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLTL

Essendon Royals - Melbourne Victory U20

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Essendon Royals - Melbourne Victory U20 Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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