Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	Shabake 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Esteghlal		Al-Sadd

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.75	3.50	1.93
	3.75	3.35	1.97	Watch
	3.79	3.59	2.00
	3.62	3.48	1.98	Watch
	3.75	3.55	1.94
	3.78	3.60	1.98	Watch
	3.70	3.35	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.15)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	1.96 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
25.2%

Draw
27%

Al-Sadd
47.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.9%

26%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Esteghlal - Al Sadd Predictions

Users Predictions: Al-Sadd will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Farabbasi H. (G) 2. Hardani S. 6. Fallah S. 33. Aghasi A. 5. Ashurmatov R. 27. Goudarzi H. 7. Asani J. 8. Razzaghinia A. 4. Cheshmi R. (C) 20. Koushki A. 11. Saharkhizan S.	22. Barsham M. (G) 2. Pedro Miguel 5. Salman T. 16. Khoukhi B. 6. Paulo Otavio 33. Claudinho 8. Guilherme 23. Ali H. 9. Roberto Firmino 30. Afif A. (C) 12. Abdurisag Y.
Substitutes
88. Ahmadi M. 40. Ahoora N. (G) 80. Eslami M. 87. Gholizadeh E. 26. Heydari M. G. 60. Hosseinifar S. (G) 10. Masharipov J. 9. Mohammadi M. 36. Mohebali A. 22. Touranian S. 15. Zamani A. 18. Zoleikhaei A.	31. Abdullla Y. (G) 10. Al Haydos H. 1. Al Sheeb S. (G) 3. El Hannach Y. 17. Manai M. 14. Meshaal M. 26. Romagnoli A. 80. Soria A. 7. Waad M.
Coaches
Bakhtiarizadeh S.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Asani J. ⚽,
33', Goudarzi H. 🟨,
38', Koushki A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Saharkhizan S. ⚽, Asani J. (A),
54', Koushki A. ↓, Gholizadeh E. ↑,
61', Paulo Otavio 🟨,
66', Ali H. ↓, Manai M. ↑,
68', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Eslami M. ↑,
69', Hardani S. 🟨,
78', Guilherme ↓, Soria A. ↑,
78', Abdurisag Y. ↓, Al Haydos H. ↑,
79', Claudinho 🟨,
81', Razzaghinia A. ↓, Masharipov J. ↑,
90+2', Pedro Miguel ↓, El Hannach Y. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Gholizadeh E. ⚽, Eslami M. (A),

Preview

Esteghlal is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Sadd is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Sadd will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
Iran Pro League
10.09.26	Esteghlal - Paykan	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
02.09.26	Esteghlal - Persepolis	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Foolad Khuzestan - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Esteghlal - Sepahan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTTTW
- Al-Sadd SC
Qatar QSL
10.09.26	Al-Sailiya - Al-Sadd	3:6 ✺
05.09.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	4:1 ✺
Qatar Cup
01.09.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa	2:1 ✺
Qatar QSL
28.08.26	Qatar SC - Al-Sadd	2:6 ✺
22.08.26	Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
30.09.24	Al-Sadd - Esteghlal	2:0
17.09.18	Al-Sadd - Esteghlal	2:2
27.08.18	Esteghlal - Al-Sadd	1:3
07.02.17	Esteghlal - Al-Sadd	1:0 penalties

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