Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 15

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	Shabake 3


	Esteghlal		Gol Gohar Sirjan

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.88	4.65
	1.87	2.99	4.96	Watch
	1.91	2.8	4.33
	1.87	2.82	4.76	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.73)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)	4.61 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
48.9%

Draw
31.3%

Gol Gohar Sirjan
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

28%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

27.6%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Gol Gohar Sirjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gol Gohar Sirjan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Esteghlal - Gol Gohar Sirjan Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Esteghlal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Esteghlal (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Esteghlal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adan A. (G) 2. Hardani S. 19. Fallah S. 55. Gholami A. 27. Goudarzi H. 8. Razzaghinia A. 4. Cheshmi R. (C) 70. Asani J. 17. Munir El Haddadi 87. Gholizadeh E. 9. Nazon D.	1. Garousian F. (G) 5. Yazdani S. 22. Pourali P. 14. Akvan A. 3. Jafari A. 20. Majid E. 21. Shahrabadi P. 4. Alizadeh A. 26. Zahedi M. 99. Latififar P. 10. Tikdari M.
Substitutes
23. Aghasi A. 7. Azadi M. R. 12. Djenepo M. 80. Eslami M. 76. Farabbasi H. (G) 60. Hosseinifar S. (G) 20. Koushki A. 77. Masharipov J. 11. Saharkhizan S. 3. Sohrabian A. 15. Zamani A.	64. Alipour B. 33. Asadi R. 8. Ashouri A. 18. Ehsanifar A. 7. Hamedifar O. 25. Marcao (G) 2. Najjarian M. 88. Nemati S. 76. Shabani A. 70. Sheikholeslami A. 17. Tomasevic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Jafari A. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Shahrabadi P. ⚽, Majid E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Razzaghinia A. ↓, Koushki A. ↑,
61', Zahedi M. ↓, Tomasevic N. ↑,
71', Latififar P. 🟨,
72', Latififar P. ↓, Ashouri A. ↑,
76', Gholizadeh E. ↓, Eslami M. ↑,
80', Goudarzi H. ↓, Saharkhizan S. ↑,
80', Cheshmi R. ↓, Azadi M. R. ↑,
90', Asani J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Gol Gohar Sirjan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Esteghlal is considered a favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:10. (average 1.4:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Esteghlal won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
AFC Champions League 2
24.12.25	Al-Muharraq - Esteghlal	0:3 ✺
Iran Pro League
15.12.25	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
10.12.25	Esteghlal - Malavan	1:1 ✺
05.12.25	Persepolis - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Esteghlal - Foolad Khuzestan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTTW
- Gol Gohar Sirjan
Iran Hazfi Cup
20.12.25	Mes Rafsanjan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 penalties ✺
Iran Pro League
15.12.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Mes Rafsanjan	2:0 ✺
09.12.25	Shams Azar Qazvin - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:1 ✺
04.12.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Paykan	0:1 ✺
28.11.25	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
16.04.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Esteghlal	1:1
16.12.24	Esteghlal - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:0
28.05.24	Esteghlal - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:0
24.12.23	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Esteghlal	1:1
06.03.23	Esteghlal - Gol Gohar Sirjan	2:1
01.10.22	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Esteghlal	1:2
06.03.22	Esteghlal - Gol Gohar Sirjan	2:1

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