Match Info

Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Azadi Stadium (Tehran) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iran	17:45	Kerman TV
Ireland	15:15	Shabake 3


	Esteghlal		Gol Gohar Sirjan

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.00	4.80
	1.75	3.05	4.8
	1.8	2.97	4.8
	1.82	3.18	4.84	Watch
	1.71	2.9	4.5
	1.78	2.99	4.78	Watch
	1.77	3.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.6)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	4.76 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esteghlal
51.1%

Draw
29.9%

Gol Gohar Sirjan
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.2%

28.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

27.2%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esteghlal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esteghlal's form might have worsened.

Gol Gohar Sirjan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esteghlal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gol Gohar Sirjan than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Esteghlal - Gol Gohar Sirjan Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Esteghlal will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Gol Gohar will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Farabbasi H. (G) 6. Fallah S. 33. Aghasi A. 5. Ashurmatov R. 2. Hardani S. 87. Gholizadeh E. 4. Cheshmi R. 27. Goudarzi H. 7. Asani J. 11. Saharkhizan S. 10. Masharipov J.	97. Akhbari M. (G) 5. Kor M. 7. Hosseini E. 6. Masoumi M. 2. Najjarian M. 11. Goudarzi M. 99. Ben Hassine L. 4. Alizadeh A. 19. Ghazipour P. 13. Alinejad M. 10. Aliyari M.
Substitutes
88. Ahmadi M. 9. Azadi M. 80. Eslami M. 26. Heydari M. G. 60. Hosseinifard S. (G) 20. Koushki A. 36. Mohebali A. 8. Razzaghinia A. 22. Touranian S. 15. Zamani A.	20. Abbasi M. 9. Alishah O. 8. Ashouri A. 16. Bordbar M. 1. Garousian F. (G) 14. Jafari A. 69. Kazemian M. 88. Nemati S. 76. Sahraei S. 26. Zahedi M. 60. Zendehrouh A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Hosseini E. ↓, Zendehrouh A. ↑,
33', Alizadeh A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Gholizadeh E. ⚽, Saharkhizan S. (A),
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esteghlal won 1.

Esteghlal has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Gol Gohar has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Esteghlal is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Esteghlal in today's match, at odds of 1.7.

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Esteghlal has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:11 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Esteghlal against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 11:5 goals (averaging 1.4:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Gol Gohar	10	4	1	5	10:9	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esteghlal FC
AFC Champions League
12.10.26	Al-Gharafa - Esteghlal	1:2 ✺
Iran Pro League
08.10.26	Tractor Sazi - Esteghlal	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
14.09.26	Esteghlal - Al-Sadd	3:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
10.09.26	Esteghlal - Paykan	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Aluminium Arak - Esteghlal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTWWT
- Gol Gohar Sirjan
AFC Champions League 2
14.10.26	Al-Muharraq - Gol Gohar Sirjan	2:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
08.10.26	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Esteghlal Khuzestan	3:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
15.09.26	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Al-Jazira	0:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
10.09.26	Shams Azar Qazvin - Gol Gohar Sirjan	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Tractor Sazi - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
28.12.25	Esteghlal - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:1
16.04.25	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Esteghlal	1:1
16.12.24	Esteghlal - Gol Gohar Sirjan	0:0
28.05.24	Esteghlal - Gol Gohar Sirjan	1:0
24.12.23	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Esteghlal	1:1
06.03.23	Esteghlal - Gol Gohar Sirjan	2:1
01.10.22	Gol Gohar Sirjan - Esteghlal	1:2

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