What is the expert prediction for Estonia vs Norway?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Estonia vs Norway. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Estonia vs Norway Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, June 09, 2025)

Match Info

World Championship - Qualification

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Jovanovic S. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport PSL
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Estonia	ETV 2
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Uno
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 5
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus
North-central-america	ESPN 5 Norte
Norway	TV2, TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-africa	SuperSport PSL
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Estonia		Norway

	1	X	2
	23	10	1.09
	20	9.75	1.12
	33	10.5	1.08	Watch
	28.33	10.42	1.09	Watch
	26	12	1.08
	40	13.8	1.09	Watch
	31	10.5	1.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	28.76 ↑ (13.75)	11 ↑ (6.21)	1.09 ↓ (1.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estonia
3.3%

Draw
8.7%

Norway
87.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.9%

15.3%

77.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Norway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norway's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	14.6%	81.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Estonia will win (votes: 2 - 4.3%). Norway will win (votes: 37 - 80.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norway: 68.9% – 91.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.75 - Norway (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Norway will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Norway (votes: 20 - 90.9%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hein K. (C) Valladolid 18. Schjonning-Larsen M. Levadia 13. Paskotsi M. Grasshoppers 2. Kuusk M. GKS Katowice 3. Saliste J. Paide Linnameeskond 10. Palumets K. Podbrezova 5. Shein R. R. Fredrikstad 14. Kristal P. Koln 4. Kait M. Rapid Bucuresti 23. Sinyavskiy V. Slovacko 15. Sappinen R. Flora	1. Nyland O. (G) Sevilla 14. Ryerson J. Dortmund 3. Ajer K. Brentford 17. Heggem T. West Brom 5. Wolfe D. M. AZ Alkmaar 10. Odegaard M. (C) Arsenal 8. Berge S. Fulham 2. Thorsby M. Genoa 20. Nusa A. RB Leipzig 9. Haaland E. Manchester City 7. Sorloth A. Atl. Madrid
Substitutes
11. Ainsalu M. Levadia 8. Anier H. Lee Man Warriors 12. Igonen M. (G) Botev Plovdiv 16. Lepistu B. Levadia 17. Miller M. Paide Linnameeskond 20. Poom M. Flora 7. Saarma R. Paide Linnameeskond 6. Soomets M. Den Bosch 21. Tamm A. O. Ljubljana 19. Tammik T. Levadia 22. Vallner K. (G) Levadia 9. Yakovlev I. Panionios	18. Aasgaard T. Luton 6. Berg P. Bodo/Glimt 22. Bobb O. Manchester City 19. Donnum A. Toulouse 12. Dyngeland M. (G) Brann 15. Gundersen J. Bodo/Glimt 23. Johnsen L. Malmo FF 11. Larsen J. S. Wolves 4. Ostigard L. Hoffenheim 16. Pedersen M. Torino 21. Schjelderup A. Benfica 13. Selvik E. (G) Watford
Coaches
Henn J.	Solbakken S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Thorsby M. ↓, Bobb O. ↑,
46', Kait M. ↓, Miller M. ↑,
49', Wolfe D. M. 🟨,
55', Sappinen R. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽,
68', Nusa A. ↓, Johnsen L. ↑,
82', Sorloth A. ↓, Larsen J. S. ↑,
84', Paskotsi M. ↓, Anier H. ↑,
84', Sappinen R. ↓, Tamm A. ↑,
84', Saliste J. ↓, Saarma R. ↑,
90', Wolfe D. M. ↓, Ostigard L. ↑,
90', Bobb O. ↓, Berg P. ↑,
90+3', Palumets K. ↓, Poom M. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Norway is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estonia
FIFA World Cup
06.06.25	Estonia - Israel	1:3 ✺
25.03.25	Moldova - Estonia	2:3 ✺
22.03.25	Israel - Estonia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League
19.11.24	Slovakia - Estonia	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Azerbaijan - Estonia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWLLT
- Norway
FIFA World Cup
06.06.25	Norway - Italy	3:0 ✺
25.03.25	Israel - Norway	2:4 ✺
22.03.25	Moldova - Norway	0:5 ✺
UEFA Nations League
17.11.24	Norway - Kazakhstan	5:0 ✺
14.11.24	Slovenia - Norway	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
24.03.16	Estonia - Norway	0:0
12.11.14	Norway - Estonia	0:1

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