Match Info

Euro U21 - Qualification

Date: 8 September 2025, Monday

Location: Kadrioru Staadion (Tallinn)

Referee: Redder M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV


	Estonia U21		Iceland U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.05	4.25	1.58
	5.43	4.2	1.59
	3.98	4.05	1.75	Watch
	5.1	4.25	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↑ (4.08)	4.19 ↑ (4.14)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estonia U21
19.3%

Draw
22.6%

Iceland U21
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

22.5%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estonia U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Iceland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Estonia U21 - Iceland U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iceland U21 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Iceland U21 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nomm O. (C) Parnu JK Vaprus 4. Kait K. Portimonense 23. Pihela O. Kuressaare 18. Veering R. Flora 2. Tovstik S. Flora 6. Hoim O. Paide Linnameeskond 8. Siht R. Kalju 15. Gouram S. Hertha Berlin 16. Kriis K. Harju JK Laagri 14. Varjund T. Jong Utrecht 20. Pajo T. Parnu JK Vaprus	1. Petersson L. (G) Hoffenheim 17. Bjarnason J. Kolding IF 3. Juliusson J. KR Reykjavik 5. Karlsson H. (C) Brommapojkarna 6. Helgason B. Hafnarfjordur 7. Thorsteinsson A. 10. Gudmundsson E. Brann 18. Kjartansson K. Aberdeen 11. Mikaelsson H. Viking 9. Andresson B. Stockport County 19. Thorkelsson R. Vikingur Reykjavik
Substitutes
21. Bergman A. Harju JK Laagri 17. Jurisoo T. Tallinna Kalev 10. Kalimullin M. Flora 7. Luts D. Paide Linnameeskond 5. Merilai S. Nomme Utd 11. Ounapuu E. Nomme Utd 12. Purg G. (G) Nomme Utd 9. Sillamaa R. Harju JK Laagri 19. Smirnov R. Tallinna Kalev	23. Arnorsson N. Aalborg 12. Georgsson H. (G) KR Reykjavik 22. Gudmundsson G. KR Reykjavik 20. Hardarson H. Odds BK 14. Ingason H. Helmond Sport 8. Nokkvason G. Stjarnan 2. Orrason A. Breidablik 4. Robertsson L. Istra 1961 21. Robertsson T. Hafnarfjordur
Coaches
Sarajarvi J.	Skulason O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Veering R. 🟨,
34', Juliusson J. 🟨,
37', Juliusson J. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Pajo T. ⚽,
40', Thorkelsson R. ↓, Robertsson L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Andresson B. 🟨,
60', Kriis K. ↓, Sillamaa R. ↑,
60', Pajo T. ↓, Kalimullin M. ↑,
65', Kjartansson K. ↓, Robertsson T. ↑,
65', Mikaelsson H. ↓, Hardarson H. ↑,
66', Bjarnason J. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
69', Pihela O. 🟨,
73', Gouram S. ↓, Smirnov R. ↑,
73', Varjund T. ↓, Ounapuu E. ↑,
79', Thorsteinsson A. ↓, Gudmundsson G. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Andresson B. ⚽, Karlsson H. (A),

Preview

Iceland U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Iceland U21 is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Estonia U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 2:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estonia U21
UEFA Euro U21
05.09.25	Estonia U21 - Switzerland U21	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Faroe Islands U21 - Estonia U21	2:1 ✺
Friendly
25.03.25	Malta U21 - Estonia U21	1:1 ✺
UEFA Euro U21
15.10.24	Estonia U21 - Kosovo U21	3:1 ✺
10.10.24	Estonia U21 - Israel U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 102.6 LLTWW
- Iceland U21
UEFA Euro U21
04.09.25	Iceland U21 - Faroe Islands U21	1:2 ✺
Friendly
05.06.25	Brazil U20 - Iceland U21	0:0 ✺
25.03.25	Scotland U21 - Iceland U21	1:6 ✺
21.03.25	Iceland U21 - Hungary U21	3:0 ✺
17.11.24	Poland U21 - Iceland U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
06.09.18	Iceland U21 - Estonia U21	5:2
14.11.17	Estonia U21 - Iceland U21	2:3

Estonia U21 - Iceland U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide