Match Info

Baltic Cup U21

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Rigas Daugavgrivas (Riga)


	Estonia U21		Lithuania U21

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	2.90	Watch
	2.10	3.25	3.20
	1.98	3.60	2.95
	2.12	3.61	3.13
	2.12	4.03	2.73	Watch
	2.10	3.20	2.90
	2.14	3.66	3.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.79)	3.55 ↓ (3.56)	2.98 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estonia U21
43.7%

Draw
25.7%

Lithuania U21
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

25.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estonia U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estonia U21's form might have worsened.

Lithuania U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lithuania U21's recent form is better than expected.

Estonia U21 - Lithuania U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vainula J. (G) Harju JK Laagri 5. Alamaa S. Flora 14. Eerme K. Harju JK Laagri 17. Jurisoo T. Kuressaare 3. Kollo A. Flora 21. Kriis K. (C) Harju JK Laagri 7. Mustmaa K. PAOK 13. Pajo T. Parnu JK Vaprus 4. Pihela O. Flora 11. Smirnov R. Paide Linnameeskond 19. Vaher A. Flora	12. Bagdonavicius R. (G) FC Hegelmann 18. Bierontas E. FA Siauliai 2. Burdzilauskas T. FK Kauno Zalgiris 17. Garbaliauskas N. FA Siauliai 6. Grudzinskas D. 10. Gudelevicius E. Siracusa 5. Praleika S. Banga 4. Pukelis O. AIK 13. Sapola M. (C) US Pontedera 19. Steponavicius F. Suduva 8. Taucas D. Valencia
Substitutes
9. Agaptsev S. Narva 6. Hoim O. Paide Linnameeskond 10. Jepihhin D. Trencin 1. Nomm O. (G) Parnu JK Vaprus 18. Orlov M. Kalju 15. Piil R. Kuressaare 16. Siht R. Kalju 2. Tovstik S. Flora 8. Veering R. Flora 20. Wagner A.	9. Jansonas R. CF Os Belenenses 23. Jarasius D. FA Siauliai 15. Kirjanov E. FK Minija 16. Lickunas A. Cremonese 1. Linkevicius P. (G) FA Siauliai 3. Matyzonok P. Zalgiris 21. Pavlovskij N. Dziugas Telsiai 7. Pranckus P. FA Siauliai 11. Setkus M. Zalgiris 20. Usavicius J. Riteriai 14. Zevzikovas D. Dziugas Telsiai
Coaches
Sarajarvi J.	Skerla A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Mustmaa K. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Mustmaa K. ⚽,
29', Alamaa S. ↓, Siht R. ↑,
33', 2 - 1, Praleika S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Grudzinskas D. ↓, Pavlovskij N. ↑,
46', Praleika S. 🟨,
58', Eerme K. ↓, Jepihhin D. ↑,
58', Vaher A. ↓, Veering R. ↑,
63', Gudelevicius E. ↓, Usavicius J. ↑,
63', Steponavicius F. ↓, Lickunas A. ↑,
63', Sapola M. ↓, Matyzonok P. ↑,
65', Veering R. 🟨,
70', Mustmaa K. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
70', Smirnov R. ↓, Hoim O. ↑,
72', Pajo T. 🟨,
73', Burdzilauskas T. ↓, Setkus M. ↑,
73', Garbaliauskas N. ↓, Jansonas R. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Usavicius J. ⚽,
84', Pajo T. ↓, Wagner A. ↑,

Preview

Estonia U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Estonia U21 is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Estonia U21 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estonia U21
Baltic Cup U21
05.06.26	Latvia U21 - Estonia U21	1:1 ✺
UEFA Euro U21
31.03.26	Switzerland U21 - Estonia U21	2:1 ✺
26.03.26	Iceland U21 - Estonia U21	6:2 ✺
13.10.25	France U21 - Estonia U21	6:1 ✺
10.10.25	Estonia U21 - Luxembourg U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLT
- Lithuania U21
UEFA Euro U21
27.03.26	Ukraine U21 - Lithuania U21	1:1 ✺
18.11.25	Lithuania U21 - Turkey U21	1:2 ✺
13.11.25	Croatia U21 - Lithuania U21	4:0 ✺
Friendly
14.10.25	Netherlands U21 - Lithuania U21	2:0 ✺
UEFA Euro U21
10.10.25	Turkey U21 - Lithuania U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
16.11.22	Estonia U21 - Lithuania U21	5:1
04.06.21	Lithuania U21 - Estonia U21	2:0
29.05.18	Estonia U21 - Lithuania U21	1:1
CIS Cup
24.01.15	Estonia U21 - Lithuania U21	2:1

Estonia U21 - Lithuania U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide