Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 11

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Estoril U19		SC Lusitânia U19

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.45
	2.6	3.25	2.45
	2.63	3.18	2.56
	2.56	3.4	2.53
	2.6	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.99)	3.26 ↓ (3.47)	2.49 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril U19
35.5%

Draw
28%

SC Lusitânia U19
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.7%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

27.6%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

SC Lusitânia U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SC Lusitânia U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril U19 than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estoril U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia U19 than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SC Lusitânia U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 1, ⚽,
69', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

SC Lusitânia U19 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Estoril U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Estoril U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
27.04.24	Torreense U19 - Estoril U19	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Académica Coimbra U19 - Estoril U19	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Estoril U19 - Vitoria Setúbal U19	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Estoril U19 - Beira-Mar U19	5:1 ✺
30.03.24	Belenenses U19 - Estoril U19	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTLWL
- SC Lusitânia U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
28.04.24	Académica Coimbra U19 - SC Lusitânia U19	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	SC Lusitânia U19 - Beira-Mar U19	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Alverca U19 - SC Lusitânia U19	1:1 ✺
06.04.24	Torreense U19 - SC Lusitânia U19	2:0 ✺
23.03.24	SC Lusitânia U19 - Vitoria Setúbal U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
02.03.24	SC Lusitânia U19 - Estoril U19	2:0
25.11.23	Estoril U19 - SC Lusitânia U19	1:2

Estoril U19 - SC Lusitânia U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide