Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 9

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Estrela Vendas Novas		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.4	1.61
	5.2	3.5	1.62
	5.42	3.4	1.64
	4.73	3.48	1.7
	5.08	3.44	1.64
	5.2	3.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↑ (3.37)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	1.64 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela Vendas Novas
18%

Draw
26.4%

Operário Ferroviario
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

28%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.4%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela Vendas Novas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estrela Vendas Novas's form might have worsened.

Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário Ferroviario's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela Vendas Novas than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estrela Vendas Novas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Operário Ferroviario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Estrela Vendas Novas - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrela Vendas Novas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
03.11.24	Lusitano GC - Estrela Vendas Novas	4:0 ✺
27.10.24	Estrela Vendas Novas - Serpa	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Moura - Estrela Vendas Novas	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Estrela Vendas Novas - Amora	0:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Sintrense - Estrela Vendas Novas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
09.11.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario	0:1 ✺
04.11.24	Operário Ferroviario - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.11.24	Operário Ferroviario - Fabril do Barreiro	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
29.10.24	Goiás - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
27.10.24	Barreirense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.11.17	Operário Ferroviario - Estrela Vendas Novas	1:2

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