PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 11
Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday
Estrela da Amadora B
Moura
1
X
2
1.57
3.6
5
1.56
3.7
5.2
1.52
3.6
6.09
1.55
3.7
5.46
1.56
3.7
5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.55 ↓ (1.64)
3.66 ↓ (3.75)
5.39 ↑ (4.42)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estrela da Amadora B 58.4%
Draw 24.8%
Moura 16.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
24.2%
20.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.6%
23.2%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Moura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora B than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moura than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Estrela da Amadora B - Moura Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
74', 1 - 1, ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Estrela B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Moura is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
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