Match Info

Baiano U20 - Round 11

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Estrela de Março U20		Jacuipense U20

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2.36	3.04	2.77
	2.44	2.97	2.89	Watch
	2.38	2.88	2.8
	2.31	3.34	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.08)	3.13 ↓ (3.5)	2.86 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrela de Março U20
39.3%

Draw
29%

Jacuipense U20
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.1%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.7%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrela de Março U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Jacuipense U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela de Março U20 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estrela de Março U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacuipense U20 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Estrela de Março U20 - Jacuipense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 2)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano U20 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano U20 (Play Offs: ))

Estrela Março U20 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jacuipense U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jacuipense U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jacuipense U20 has had a series of home games.

Estrela Março U20 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estrela Março U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Estrela de Março U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
18.04.26	Estrela de Março U20 - Alagoinhas U20	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Redenção U20 - Estrela de Março U20	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Estrela de Março U20 - Redenção U20	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Jacuipense U20 - Estrela de Março U20	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Estrela de Março U20 - Fluminense de Feira U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWL
- Jacuipense U20
Brazilian Baiano U20
02.05.26	Jacuipense U20 - Vitória U20	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Jacuipense U20 - Redenção U20	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Jacuipense U20 - Fluminense de Feira U20	1:4 ✺
28.03.26	Redenção U20 - Jacuipense U20	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Jacuipense U20 - Estrela de Março U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Baiano U20
21.03.26	Jacuipense U20 - Estrela de Março U20	1:2

Estrela de Março U20 - Jacuipense U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide