Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 10

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday


	Estrella		Arucas

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.4	1.58
	3.9	3.25	1.87
	3.72	3.15	1.94
	3.82	3.32	1.9	Watch
	4.06	3.3	1.82
	3.9	3.25	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↓ (5.08)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	1.83 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estrella
22.2%

Draw
27.9%

Arucas
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

26%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

25.7%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estrella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Arucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arucas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrella than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estrella - Arucas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Santana Y. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Ougri S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
50', 1 - 2, Van Wesemael J. ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Negrin C. ⚽,
85', 3 - 2, Alejo J. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estrella CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
03.11.24	UD San Fernando - Estrella	6:1 ✺
25.10.24	Estrella - Unión Viera	0:0 ✺
18.10.24	Villa de Santa Brígida - Estrella	2:1 ✺
20.09.24	Estrella - Panadería Pulido	1:2 ✺
13.09.24	Tamaraceite - Estrella	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Arucas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
02.11.24	Arucas - Arcángel San Miguel	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Ibarra - Arucas	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Arucas - Los Llanos de Aridane	1:0 ✺
12.10.24	Panadería Pulido - Arucas	1:3 ✺
04.10.24	Arucas - Tamaraceite	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
27.01.23	Arucas - Estrella	2:0
12.10.22	Estrella - Arucas	1:2

Estrella - Arucas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide