Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Estudiantes La Plata 2		Barracas Central 2

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.55	7.5
	1.35	4.77	8.3
	2.23	2.07	6.72	Watch
	1.32	4.6	8.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.34)	4 ↓ (4.45)	7.66 ↓ (7.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata 2
62.8%

Draw
24.4%

Barracas Central 2
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

20.4%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.6%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata 2's form might have worsened.

Barracas Central 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes La Plata 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central 2 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Barracas Central 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 🟥,
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Barracas Central 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Estudiantes LP 2 is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes LP 2 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
16.09.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	0:1 ✺
03.09.25	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
27.08.25	Central Córdoba 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
21.08.25	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Aldosivi 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTW
- Barracas Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.09.25	Barracas Central 2 - Belgrano 2	0:0 ✺
09.09.25	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Barracas Central 2	1:1 ✺
03.09.25	Barracas Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:2 ✺
26.08.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Barracas Central 2	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Barracas Central 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
24.04.25	Barracas Central 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1
02.06.23	Barracas Central 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:2
20.07.22	Barracas Central 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:1
13.04.22	Barracas Central 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	2:2

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