The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newells Old Boys 2 40.5%
Draw 30%
Estudiantes La Plata 2 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
29%
31.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
29.6%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Estudiantes La Plata 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Newells Old Boys 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys 2 won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Newells Old Boys 2 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Newells Old Boys 2 has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:9 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Newells Old Boys 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals (averaging 1.3:0 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Newells Old Boys 2 - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.35%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.