Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Estudiantes La Plata 2		Belgrano 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.37	3.15	3.02
	2.38	3.02	2.97	Watch
	2.25	3	2.8
	2.34	3.34	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.1)	3.12 ↑ (3.06)	2.92 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata 2
39.4%

Draw
29.3%

Belgrano 2
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

30.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

31.1%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Belgrano 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belgrano 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes La Plata 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Belgrano 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).

In recent matches, Estudiantes LP 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Belgrano 2 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Estudiantes LP 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Estudiantes LP 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes LP 2 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes LP 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
14.05.26	Lanús 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:4 ✺
07.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLTWT
- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
13.05.26	Belgrano 2 - Central Córdoba 2	1:0 ✺
07.05.26	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Belgrano 2	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Belgrano 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	4:1 ✺
23.04.26	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Belgrano 2	2:4 ✺
15.04.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Belgrano 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
01.10.25	Belgrano 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1
30.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Belgrano 2	2:2
16.08.23	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Belgrano 2	0:1
18.07.23	Belgrano 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	6:0

Upcoming Matches