Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - Second stage - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Estudiantes La Plata 2		Sarmiento de Junín 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	3.7	6.5
	1.45	3.75	7	Watch
	1.51	3.74	6.96
	1.49	3.65	6.99
	1.4	3.75	7.5
	1.45	3.7	7.2
	1.45	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)	3.72 ↓ (3.74)	7.02 ↑ (6.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estudiantes La Plata 2
62.6%

Draw
24.5%

Sarmiento de Junín 2
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

24.4%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

23.5%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estudiantes La Plata 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Second stage ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).

Estudiantes La Plata 2 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sarmiento 2 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sarmiento 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Estudiantes La Plata 2 is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Estudiantes La Plata 2 won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estudiantes La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
02.10.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:2 ✺
25.09.24	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:3 ✺
17.09.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Lanús 2	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWWWL
- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
03.10.24	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Central Córdoba 2	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	1:1 ✺
06.09.24	Barracas Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0 ✺
27.08.24	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
07.05.24	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:1
14.10.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	2:2
25.02.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1
15.06.22	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:1

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