Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Gimnasia La Plata 2		Estudiantes La Plata 2

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.00	2.65
	2.60	3.00	2.43	Watch
	2.63	2.97	2.86
	2.62	2.97	2.71	Watch
	2.60	2.80	2.80
	2.57	3.26	2.68
	2.50	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.6)	3.01 ↑ (3)	2.68 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata 2
35.6%

Draw
30.3%

Estudiantes La Plata 2
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.5%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

28.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Estudiantes La Plata 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes La Plata 2 than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 7th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata 2 won 0.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Estudiantes LP 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia La Plata 2 has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:11 (averaging 0.7:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gimnasia La Plata 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 6:5 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Gimnasia La Plata 2 - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.05%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
16.09.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
01.09.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	Racing Club 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:4 ✺
19.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTLWL
- Estudiantes La Plata 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.09.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:0 ✺
10.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Ferro 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:1 ✺
26.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	Independiente 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
22.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:0
03.09.25	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:0
08.05.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:2
07.09.24	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:2
04.04.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:1
19.09.23	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	2:0
16.03.23	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	1:0

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