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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Caseros 31.2%
Draw 26.9%
Social Atlético Televisión 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
27.1%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
26.7%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Caseros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes de Caseros's form might have worsened.
Social Atlético Televisión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Social Atlético Televisión's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Caseros than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estudiantes de Caseros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Social Atlético Televisión than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Social Atlético Televisión, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Chamorra S. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Leguizamon Z. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 1 - 2, Garcia G. ⚽,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9).
CA Estudiantes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches SAT is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
SAT could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches CA Estudiantes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.
Including matches at home between the teams CA Estudiantes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.