Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations Women - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday


	Ethiopia W		Uganda W

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.4	1.72
	4.69	3.5	1.7	Watch
	5.49	3.34	1.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (2.19)	3.41 ↑ (2.94)	1.68 ↓ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia W
18.8%

Draw
26.8%

Uganda W
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

30.8%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopia W's form might have worsened.

Uganda W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uganda W's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Ethiopia W - Uganda W Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ethiopia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Uganda will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uganda: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
Penalties (5 - 4)

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

Ethiopia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ethiopia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia W
Africa Cup of Nations Women
21.02.25	Uganda W - Ethiopia W	2:0 ✺
Olympic Games - Football Women
31.10.23	Nigeria W - Ethiopia W	4:0 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations Women
26.09.23	Ethiopia W - Burundi W	1:2 penalties ✺
22.09.23	Burundi W - Ethiopia W	1:1 ✺
20.10.21	Uganda W - Ethiopia W	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Uganda W
Africa Cup of Nations Women
21.02.25	Uganda W - Ethiopia W	2:0 ✺
Friendly International Women
30.11.24	Algeria W - Uganda W	1:0 ✺
27.11.24	Algeria W - Uganda W	2:1 ✺
05.12.23	Morocco W - Uganda W	3:0 ✺
01.12.23	Morocco W - Uganda W	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Women
21.02.25	Uganda W - Ethiopia W	2:0
20.10.21	Uganda W - Ethiopia W	2:0
Olympic Games - Football Women
06.04.19	Uganda W - Ethiopia W	0:1
03.04.19	Ethiopia W - Uganda W	3:2

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