Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dasaki Stadium (Achna) 🌤️ ...


	Ethnikos Achna		Ermis Aradippou

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	4.75
	1.57	3.55	4.4
	1.54	3.8	4.6
	1.51	3.89	4.57
	1.55	3.5	5
	1.59	3.7	4.86
	1.57	3.95	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.58)	3.74 ↑ (3.7)	4.7 ↓ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethnikos Achna
57.3%

Draw
23.8%

Ermis Aradippou
18.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

24.2%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

23.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethnikos Achna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ermis Aradippou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermis Aradippou than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Ethnikos Achna - Ermis Aradippou Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ethnikos Achna will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Ermis will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ethnikos Achna: 45% – 100%.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ First Division and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ethnikos Achna won 2.

Ethnikos Achna is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ermis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ethnikos Achna is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Ethnikos Achna won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Ethnikos Achna won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot Division 2
14.10.22	Ethnikos Achna - PAEEK	2:2 ✺
08.10.22	Peyia 2014 - Ethnikos Achna	0:1 ✺
30.09.22	Ethnikos Achna - Othellos Athienou	2:3 ✺
16.09.22	Zakakiou - Ethnikos Achna	1:2 ✺
09.09.22	Ethnikos Achna - Xylotymbou	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLWW
- Ermis Aradippou
Cypriot Division 2
15.10.22	Ermis Aradippou - Peyia 2014	1:3 ✺
09.10.22	Othellos Athienou - Ermis Aradippou	1:0 ✺
Cypriot Cup
06.10.22	AEL Limassol - Ermis Aradippou	1:0 ✺
Cypriot Division 2
01.10.22	Ermis Aradippou - Zakakiou	2:1 ✺
17.09.22	Xylotymbou - Ermis Aradippou	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
21.05.21	Ethnikos Achna - Ermis Aradippou	2:0
06.04.21	Ermis Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	1:2
24.12.20	Ermis Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	0:0
14.09.20	Ethnikos Achna - Ermis Aradippou	0:2
02.01.18	Ethnikos Achna - Ermis Aradippou	0:0
24.09.17	Ermis Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	2:0
21.05.17	Ermis Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	3:4

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot Division 2
31.10.26	Ethnikos Achna - Halkanoras	✺
- Ermis Aradippou
Cypriot Division 2
30.10.26	Ermis Aradippou - Anagennisi Dherynia	✺

Ethnikos Achna - Ermis Aradippou