Match Info
Premier LeagueDate: 28 November 2025, FridayLocation: Umuganda Stadium (Gisenyi)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | StarTimes App |
 Rwanda | Magic Sports TV |
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Etincelles |
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Mukura Victory Sports |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.42 |
2.72 |
2.98 |
|
 |
2.5 |
2.59 |
3.13 |
|
 |
2.2 |
2.79 |
3.47 |
|
 |
2.45 |
2.6 |
3.14 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.52) |
2.68 ↓
(2.7) |
3.18 ↑
(3.06) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Etincelles
37.8% | Draw
33.8% | Mukura Victory Sports
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Etincelles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Mukura Victory Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etincelles than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mukura Victory Sports than the current prediction. (+0.7%)Etincelles - Mukura Victory Sports Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 2.Recent performances by Etincelles have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).Mukura is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Etincelles won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.8:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Etincelles won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Rwanda Premier League | | | 15.02.25 | Etincelles - Mukura Victory Sports | 2:0 | | 24.08.24 | Mukura Victory Sports - Etincelles | 0:0 | | 08.03.24 | Etincelles - Mukura Victory Sports | 3:1 | | 28.10.23 | Mukura Victory Sports - Etincelles | 1:0 | | 06.05.23 | Mukura Victory Sports - Etincelles | 3:1 | | 30.10.22 | Etincelles - Mukura Victory Sports | 2:1 | | 17.06.22 | Etincelles - Mukura Victory Sports | 1:2 |
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