Match Info

LUXEMBOURG: NATIONAL DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Stade Am Deich (Ettelbruck)


	Etzella Ettelbruck		Victoria Rosport

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.9	1.68
	3.51	4.18	1.83
	3.78	3.94	1.76
	3.85	4	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↓ (3.82)	4.01 ↑ (3.75)	1.74 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Etzella Ettelbruck
24.7%

Draw
22.8%

Victoria Rosport
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

24.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

24.3%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Etzella Ettelbruck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Victoria Rosport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Etzella Ettelbruck than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Rosport than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Etzella won 2.

Etzella has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Victoria Rosport is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Etzella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Victoria Rosport is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Etzella won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Etzella won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Etzella Ettelbruck
Luxembourg National Division
19.03.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - F91 Dudelange	2:5 ✺
12.03.23	Swift Hesperange - Etzella Ettelbruck	2:2 ✺
05.03.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - Mondorf-les-Bains	0:3 ✺
26.02.23	Differdange 03 - Etzella Ettelbruck	6:0 ✺
19.02.23	Etzella Ettelbruck - Fola Esch	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LTLLL
- FC Victoria Rosport
Luxembourg National Division
29.03.23	Victoria Rosport - Pétange	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	UNA Strassen - Victoria Rosport	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Victoria Rosport - Racing Luxembourg	4:2 ✺
05.03.23	Hostert - Victoria Rosport	1:3 ✺
26.02.23	Victoria Rosport - Progrès Niedercorn	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
16.10.22	Victoria Rosport - Etzella Ettelbruck	3:1
22.05.22	Victoria Rosport - Etzella Ettelbruck	0:3
08.08.21	Etzella Ettelbruck - Victoria Rosport	1:3
01.09.18	Victoria Rosport - Etzella Ettelbruck	0:3
22.05.16	Etzella Ettelbruck - Victoria Rosport	1:5
02.08.15	Victoria Rosport - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:2
08.03.15	Etzella Ettelbruck - Victoria Rosport	1:1

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