The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Europa 44%
Draw 27.1%
Mons Calpe 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
23.8%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
23.4%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Europa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Europa's performance.
Mons Calpe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mons Calpe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Europa than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mons Calpe than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mons Calpe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Championship Group: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Europa won 4.
Europa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Mons Calpe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Europa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Europa won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 42-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Europa won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-7.
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