Match Info

GIBRALTAR: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Victoria Stadium (Gibraltar) 🌤️ ...


	Europa		Mons Calpe

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	2.95
	2.1	3.4	3
	2	3.37	3.21
	2.01	3.37	3.21
	2.11	3.3	3.14
	2.06	3.3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.3)	3.34 ↓ (3.75)	3.12 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Europa
44%

Draw
27.1%

Mons Calpe
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

23.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

23.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Europa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Europa's performance.

Mons Calpe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mons Calpe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Europa than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mons Calpe than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mons Calpe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Europa won 4.

Europa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mons Calpe is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Europa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Europa won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 42-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Europa won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Europa FC
Gibraltar National League
03.03.24	Manchester 62 - Europa	1:1 ✺
Gibraltar Cup
28.02.24	Europa - Glacis United	3:1 ✺
Gibraltar National League
25.02.24	Europa - Europa Point	0:1 ✺
18.02.24	Glacis United - Europa	0:1 ✺
Gibraltar Cup
31.01.24	Europa - Europa Point	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLWW
- Mons Calpe SC
Gibraltar Cup
27.02.24	St Josephs - Mons Calpe	3:0 ✺
Gibraltar National League
23.02.24	Lincoln Red Imps - Mons Calpe	2:1 ✺
09.02.24	Mons Calpe - Manchester 62	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Europa Point - Mons Calpe	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Mons Calpe - Glacis United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Gibraltar National League
02.12.23	Mons Calpe - Europa	1:0
27.11.22	Mons Calpe - Europa	0:2
30.04.22	Mons Calpe - Europa	0:4
Gibraltar Cup
08.03.22	Mons Calpe - Europa	1:2 penalties
Gibraltar National League
05.03.22	Europa - Mons Calpe	3:2
15.01.22	Mons Calpe - Europa	1:3
15.05.21	Mons Calpe - Europa	0:3

Europa - Mons Calpe

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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