The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Everton 61.5%
Draw 20.7%
Nottingham Forest 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.1%
21.1%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
21.8%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Everton's performance.
Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Everton - Nottingham Forest Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Ramsey E. (G) 33. Pacheco M. 5. Fernandez M. 27. Stenevik E. 13. Kitagawa H. 8. van Gool R. 7. Wheeler C. (C) 19. Robinson K. 6. Hayashi H. 29. Momiki Y. 11. Gago K.
1. Batty E. (G) 2. Stapleton J. 16. Green M. (C) 5. Mustaki C. 12. Hed E. 23. Smith K. 17. Thomas F. 8. Rodgers A. 21. Garcia N. 10. Claypole A. 33. Boye-Hlorkah C.
Substitutes
28. Holmgaard K. 34. Jones E. 16. Ladd H. 9. Oyedupe Payne A. 40. Startup K. (G) 18. Vignola O. 24. Weir K.
29. Ferguson G. (G) 18. Hamilton C. 22. Howe C. 3. Johnson N. 7. Lia V. 15. Olding H. 14. Wellings C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Stapleton J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Claypole A. (Pen),
59', 1 - 1, Gago K. ⚽,
68', Hayashi H. ↓, Oyedupe Payne A. ↑,
68', Kitagawa H. ↓, Vignola O. ↑,
72', Garcia N. ↓, Wellings C. ↑,
72', Smith K. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
74', Robinson K. ↓, Weir K. ↑,
79', Wheeler C. 🟨,
83', Momiki Y. ↓, Ladd H. ↑,
86', Thomas F. ↓, Olding H. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Claypole A. (Pen),
1, Gago K. (Pen),
2, Olding H. (Pen),
2, Stenevik E. (Pen),
3, Garcia N. (Pen),
3, Weir K. (Pen),
4, Green M. (Pen),
4, Wheeler C. (Pen),
5, Boye-Hlorkah C. (Pen),
5, Pacheco M. (Pen),
Preview
Everton is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Nottingham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Everton is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Everton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1.