Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 10

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Excelsior Virton		Thes Sport

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.64	3.87
	1.77	3.68	4.12
	1.7	3.68	4.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.02)	3.67 ↑ (3.25)	4.05 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
52.5%

Draw
24.9%

Thes Sport
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

27.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

27.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Virton's performance.

Thes Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excelsior Virton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thes Sport than the current prediction. (+4%)

Excelsior Virton - Thes Sport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 11).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Virton is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Virton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Virton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1
21.10.23	Excelsior Virton - Namur	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Gent B - Excelsior Virton	5:0 ✺
08.10.23	Tienen - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Excelsior Virton - Cappellen	4:0 ✺
27.09.23	Charleroi B - Excelsior Virton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- KVV Thes Sport
Belgian National Division 1
21.10.23	Thes Sport - Leuven B	0:3 ✺
14.10.23	Lokeren - Thes Sport	4:0 ✺
07.10.23	Hoogstraten - Thes Sport	3:1 ✺
30.09.23	Thes Sport - Tienen	4:1 ✺
24.09.23	Cappellen - Thes Sport	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
25.05.19	Excelsior Virton - Thes Sport	2:2
03.05.19	Thes Sport - Excelsior Virton	0:2
09.02.19	Excelsior Virton - Thes Sport	0:1
24.11.18	Thes Sport - Excelsior Virton	1:2

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