Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)


	Excelsior Virton		Tubize

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.37
	2.38	3.3	2.58
	2.39	3.5	2.73
	2.35	3.56	2.64	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.6
	2.31	3.38	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.65)	3.37 ↑ (3.31)	2.59 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
38.1%

Draw
26.9%

Tubize
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.8%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

27.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Tubize has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tubize than the current prediction. (+3%)

Excelsior Virton - Tubize Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virton won 0.

Virton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tubize is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Virton won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:18. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Virton won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tubize-Braine	7	4	2	1	10:8	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
14.03.26	Meux - Excelsior Virton	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Excelsior Virton - Mons	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Excelsior Virton	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Excelsior Virton - Charleroi B	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Royale Union SG 2 - Excelsior Virton	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- Tubize
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
14.03.26	Tubize - Mons	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Union Rochefortoise - Tubize	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Tubize - Meux	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Meux - Tubize	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Tubize - Crossing Schaerbeek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
17.01.26	Excelsior Virton - Tubize	3:3
25.10.25	Tubize - Excelsior Virton	2:0
03.05.25	Excelsior Virton - Tubize	0:1
22.03.25	Tubize - Excelsior Virton	0:0
28.09.24	Excelsior Virton - Tubize	0:3
Belgian Challenger Pro League
03.02.16	Excelsior Virton - Tubize	2:1
05.09.15	Tubize - Excelsior Virton	1:1

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