Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Siauliai central stadium (Šiauliai) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bejtullahu M. (Kos)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Estonia	18:00	Soccernet TV
Lithuania	18:00	Delfi TV


	FA Šiauliai		Levadia Tallinn

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.15	Watch
	3.5	3	2.1
	3.4	3.1	2.15
	3.45	3.05	2.31
	3.56	3	2.22	Watch
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.58	2.97	2.23
	3.5	3.1	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.78)	3.03 ↓ (3.28)	2.18 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FA Šiauliai
26.7%

Draw
30.7%

Levadia Tallinn
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.6%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

29%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FA Šiauliai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FA Šiauliai's form might have worsened.

Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FA Šiauliai than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FA Šiauliai, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levadia Tallinn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

FA Šiauliai - Levadia Tallinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. FA Šiauliai will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Levadia will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levadia: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Baliutavicius G. (G) 8. Vaitkunas E. 4. Olberkis S. 44. Dapkus M. 23. Baravykas R. 33. Simkus D. (C) 13. Romanovskij D. 11. Sesplaukis D. 19. Paulius S. 99. Kazlauskas D. 10. Ikaunieks D.	99. Vallner K. A. (G) 7. Tur E. 3. Heitor 26. Fomba B. 6. Peetson R. (C) 11. Ainsalu M. 36. Joao Pedro 19. Musaba R. 15. Mavretic T. 10. Yakovlev I. 9. Felipe Felicio
Substitutes
16. Apockinas O. (G) 29. Dovydaitis D. 3. Gaspuitis V. 27. Jarasius D. 9. Klimavicius A. 88. Kuklys M. 31. Micevicius G. 32. Micevicius G. 28. Petkevicius N. 7. Petravicius J. 20. Urbys S. 14. Zebrauskas K.	1. Ani O. (G) 8. Bah M. 45. Jarvelaid H. 25. Kallaste K. 17. Kirss R. 23. Liivak F. 18. Lopes Gomes A. 5. Roosnupp M. O. 2. Schjonning-Larsen M. 41. Skvortsov M. 24. Zakarlyuka A.
Coaches
Cepas M.	Torres C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Musaba R. ⚽, Mavretic T. (A),
23', 0 - 2, Felipe Felicio ⚽, Tur E. (A),
40', Mavretic T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Paulius S. ↓, Kuklys M. ↑,
65', Sesplaukis D. ↓, Micevicius G. ↑,
69', Dapkus M. 🟨,
75', Musaba R. ↓, Lopes Gomes A. ↑,
75', Yakovlev I. ↓, Roosnupp M. O. ↑,
81', Kazlauskas D. ↓, Urbys S. ↑,
85', 🟨,
85', Felipe Felicio ↓, Skvortsov M. ↑,
85', Joao Pedro ↓, Liivak F. ↑,
87', Mavretic T. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
90+3', Peetson R. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

FA Šiauliai is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Levadia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FA Šiauliai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
05.07.24	FA Šiauliai - Transinvest	1:0 ✺
01.07.24	FA Šiauliai - Kauno Žalgiris	1:0 ✺
26.06.24	Hegelmann Litauen - FA Šiauliai	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	FA Šiauliai - Banga Gargždai	0:0 ✺
18.06.24	Dainava Alytus - FA Šiauliai	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTTT
- Levadia Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.24	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Narva Trans - Levadia Tallinn	1:2 ✺
19.06.24	Nõmme United - Levadia Tallinn	0:6 ✺
16.06.24	Levadia Tallinn - Tammeka	2:1 ✺
01.06.24	Levadia Tallinn - Kuressaare	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW

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