Match Info

Liga 2 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Baza Sportivă FC Bacău (Ruși-Ciutea)


	FC Bacău		CSM Satu Mare

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.75	4.55
	1.58	3.9	5.42
	1.63	3.91	4.58	Watch
	1.62	3.5	4.8
	1.55	3.75	5.28
	1.68	3.6	4.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.67)	3.74 ↑ (3.63)	4.82 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Bacău
56.7%

Draw
24.4%

CSM Satu Mare
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

24.6%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Bacău has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

CSM Satu Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Bacău than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSM Satu Mare than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

FC Bacău - CSM Satu Mare Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anton L. (G) 11. Aftanache A. 8. Albu G. 13. Bordea M. 29. Chirila I. (C) 3. Cimbru V. 10. Cirstean G. 14. Coaja A. 6. Forizs V. 7. Mitrica P. 22. Pavel A.	22. Railean D. (G) 18. Carpa G. 8. Copaci P. 23. Donca M. 2. Ghazoini E. 17. Hosu M. 67. Marin M. 26. Oanea C. (C) 20. Panos M. 27. Vida K. 7. Zamfir C.
Substitutes
4. Agapi L. 19. Burlacu D. 21. Ciobanu R. 12. Gumenco M. (G) 9. Luncasu D. 27. Moise R. 20. Nita A. 18. Oasenegre C. 24. Petre P.	76. Hofman A. 1. Karacsony M. (G) 99. Pop A. 19. Prodan R. 21. Raji A. 70. Staiculescu D. . Tasi D. 5. Todoran D. 6. Vasalie A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Vida K. (Penalty Awarded),
21', 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Mitrica P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
75', 🟨,
81', 1 - 2, Hosu M. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
86', 1 - 3, Hosu M. ⚽,

Preview

FC Bacău is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, CSM Satu Mare has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, FC Bacău is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, FC Bacău won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	FC Bacau	8	4	3	1	19:8	11	15
20	CSM Satu Mare	8	0	4	4	3:10	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bacău
Romanian Division 2
04.04.26	Reșița - FC Bacău	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	FC Bacău - Tunari	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	FC Bacău - CSM Slatina	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	Voluntari - FC Bacău	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	FC Bacău - Gloria Bistrița	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LWWWT
- CSM Satu Mare
Romanian Division 2
04.04.26	CSM Satu Mare - Dumbrăviţa	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Reșița - CSM Satu Mare	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	CSM Satu Mare - CS Dinamo București	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Concordia Chiajna - CSM Satu Mare	4:2 ✺
28.02.26	CSM Satu Mare - Tunari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Division 2
08.11.25	CSM Satu Mare - FC Bacău	0:1

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