Match Info

Liga 2 - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Baza Sportivă FC Bacău (Ruși-Ciutea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1


	FC Bacău		ASA Târgu Mureș

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	1.98
	1.49	3.22	10.12	Watch
	2.94	3.48	2.12
	3.25	3.8	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.74)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	4.04 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Bacău
41.3%

Draw
31.3%

ASA Târgu Mureș
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

26.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

25.9%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Bacău has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Bacău's performance.

ASA Târgu Mureș has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and ASA Târgu Mureș might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Bacău than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Bacău that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ASA Târgu Mureș than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that ASA Târgu Mureș could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

FC Bacău - ASA Târgu Mureș Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anton L. (G) 11. Aftanache A. 8. Albu G. 13. Bordea M. 29. Chirila I. 3. Cimbru V. 14. Coaja A. 6. Forizs V. 9. Luncasu D. 7. Mitrica P. 22. Pavel A.	93. Iacob F. (G) 15. Avram G. 17. Birnoi C. 11. Bogdan V. 4. Chatziterzoglu O. 23. Cruceru A. 30. Demeter Z. 20. Ekollo S. 99. Magerusan C. 19. Senciuc S. 9. Zukanovic M.
Substitutes
. Baban L. 33. Bacalu B. 25. Blaj F. 21. Ciobanu R. 5. Ganea D. 17. Ursu M. 12. Vlasceanu R. (G) 15. Voda A.	. Ciobanu C. . Fofana L. . Geanta R. (G) 26. Laszlo M. . Major S. . Manea M. . Manole M. . Trif R. . Vinau E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Chatziterzoglu O. 🟨,
29', Albu G. ↓, Ursu M. ↑,
35', 1 - 0, Mitrica P. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Aftanache A. 🟨,
58', Cruceru A. 🟨,
59', Pavel A. 🟨,
60', Magerusan C. 🟨,
65', Forizs V. 🟨,
69', Vinau E. 🟨,
73', Cruceru A. ↓, Major S. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Chirila I. ⚽,
75', 3 - 0, Ciobanu R. ⚽,
77', Birnoi C. ↓, Trif R. ↑,
80', Coaja A. 🟨,
86', Bordea M. 🟨,
87', Aftanache A. ↓, Burlacu D. ↑,
87', Coaja A. ↓, Voda A. ↑,
87', Forizs V. ↓, Ganea D. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Liga 2 (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Championship Group: )).

In recent matches, FC Bacău has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

ASA Târgu Mureș is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

ASA Târgu Mureș may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bacău
Romanian Division 2
19.09.25	Bihor Oradea - FC Bacău	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	FC Bacău - Reșița	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	CS Dinamo București - FC Bacău	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	FC Bacău - Concordia Chiajna	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Tunari - FC Bacău	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTTTW
- ASA Târgu Mureș
Romanian Division 2
21.09.25	ASA Târgu Mureș - Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	3:0 ✺
11.09.25	Steaua București - ASA Târgu Mureș	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	ASA Târgu Mureș - Muscelul Câmpulung Elite	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Dumbrăviţa - ASA Târgu Mureș	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	ASA Târgu Mureș - CSM Satu Mare	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW

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