Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	FC Merseburg		Plauen

	1	X	2
	8	5.25	1.26
	6.1	4.4	1.32
	8.8	5.4	1.21
	9.01	5.5	1.28
	8.2	5.45	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.02 ↑ (4.56)	5.2 ↑ (4.2)	1.27 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Merseburg
11.3%

Draw
17.4%

Plauen
71.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

19.9%

21.6%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

17.6%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Merseburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Merseburg's form might have worsened.

Plauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plauen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Merseburg than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plauen than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

FC Merseburg - Plauen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 7).

FC Merseburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plauen is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Plauen is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches FC Merseburg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams FC Merseburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Merseburg
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
18.09.21	Krieschow - FC Merseburg	9:0 ✺
12.09.21	FC Merseburg - Carl Zeiss Jena II	0:7 ✺
29.08.21	Einheit Wernigerode - FC Merseburg	3:1 ✺
22.08.21	FC Merseburg - Inter Leipzig	1:0 ✺
15.08.21	FC Merseburg - Arnstadt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWL
- Plauen
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
18.09.21	Plauen - Halle	1:1 ✺
12.09.21	Wacker 90 Nordhausen - Plauen	0:2 ✺
29.08.21	Plauen - Einheit Rudolstadt	2:0 ✺
21.08.21	Bischofswerdaer - Plauen	2:2 ✺
14.08.21	Martinroda - Plauen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
27.09.20	FC Merseburg - Plauen	3:0
07.03.20	Plauen - FC Merseburg	1:1
31.08.19	FC Merseburg - Plauen	2:2

FC Merseburg - Plauen

Match Info

Current Win Probability

FC Merseburg - Plauen Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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