Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	FC Sevastopol		Dinskaya

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.35	7.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)	4.35 ↑ (4.33)	7.31 ↓ (7.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Sevastopol
66.7%

Draw
20.9%

Dinskaya
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.7%

20.9%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

20.3%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Sevastopol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Dinskaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Sevastopol than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinskaya than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

FC Sevastopol - Dinskaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Morgunov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, Kozenov D. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Ivanov D. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Shakhtiev K. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

Sevastopol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Dinskaya has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sevastopol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sevastopol is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Sevastopol	24	19	2	3	44:18	26	59
16	PSK Dinskoy rayon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sevastopol
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
08.05.26	Rubin Yalta - FC Sevastopol	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	FC Sevastopol - Chayka 2	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Shakhtyor Taganrog - FC Sevastopol	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	FC Sevastopol - Dynamo Makhachkala 2	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - FC Sevastopol	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTWW
- PSK Dinskaya
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
10.05.26	Kyzyltash - Dinskaya	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Dinskaya - Shakhtyor Taganrog	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Chayka 2 - Dinskaya	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Dinskaya - Neftyanik Izberbash	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Dinskaya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW

FC Sevastopol - Dinskaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide