Match Info

AUSTRIA: REGIONALLIGA EAST - ROUND 21

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday


	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen		Rapid Wien II

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.05
	3.08	3.55	2.06
	3.08	3.55	2.06
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	3.11	3.6	2.01
	2.95	3.6	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.35)	3.55 ↓ (3.58)	2.08 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen
30.8%

Draw
25.6%

Rapid Wien II
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

25.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

26.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen's form might have worsened.

Rapid Wien II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rapid Wien II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien II than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rapid Wien II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, Demir F. ⚽,
66', 0 - 2, Hedl T. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Traiskirchen won 1.

Traiskirchen is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rapid II is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Traiskirchen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rapid II will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Traiskirchen won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Traiskirchen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen
Austrian Regionalliga East
23.03.24	Leobendorf - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	3:1 ✺
15.03.24	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Marchfeld Mannsdorf	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Wiener Viktoria - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	2:2 ✺
01.03.24	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - TWL Elektra	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.02.24	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Stripfing	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTWL
- Rapid Wien II
Austrian Regionalliga East
15.03.24	Austria Wien II - Rapid Wien II	0:0 ✺
08.03.24	Rapid Wien II - Draßburg	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Donaufeld Wien - Rapid Wien II	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.02.24	Kremser - Rapid Wien II	2:2 ✺
16.02.24	Rapid Wien II - Sigma Olomouc B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga East
01.09.23	Rapid Wien II - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	3:2
Club Friendly
21.01.23	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Rapid Wien II	2:4
Austrian Regionalliga East
28.02.20	Rapid Wien II - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	0:0
09.08.19	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Rapid Wien II	2:2
26.04.19	Rapid Wien II - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	0:1
28.09.18	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Rapid Wien II	2:1
16.03.18	Rapid Wien II - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	1:2

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