Match Info

Regionalliga East - Round 22

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen		Wiener

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.7	3.3
	1.85	3.85	3.2
	1.81	3.7	3.36
	1.84	4.07	3.36	Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.4
	1.8	3.74	3.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.44)	3.74 ↓ (4.3)	3.37 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen
49.3%

Draw
24%

Wiener
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

21.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

22.1%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen's form might have worsened.

Wiener has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wiener's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wiener than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wiener, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Wiener Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Traiskirchen won 1.

Traiskirchen is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wiener's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Traiskirchen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wiener has had a series of home games.

Traiskirchen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Traiskirchen won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:34. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Traiskirchen won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Wiener Sport-Club	10	6	1	3	24:11	13	19
7	Traiskirchen	10	5	2	3	23:20	3	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen
Austrian Regionalliga East
13.03.26	Favoritner - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	3:2 ✺
10.03.26	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Gloggnitz	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Sportunion Mauer	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Retz - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Austria Wien II - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	8:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLWL
- Wiener SK
Club Friendly
12.03.26	Wiener - LAC-Inter	2:3 ✺
Austrian Regionalliga East
06.03.26	Wiener - Favoritner	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sportunion Mauer - Wiener	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
06.02.26	Wiener - Klingenbach	7:1 ✺
30.01.26	Wiener - St. Pölten	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga East
29.08.25	Wiener - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	2:2
29.04.25	Wiener - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	2:2
21.04.25	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Wiener	0:1
05.04.24	Wiener - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	4:2
08.09.23	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Wiener	1:0
24.02.23	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Wiener	0:0
05.08.22	Wiener - FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen	2:1

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