Match Info

Date: 14 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Arena Națională (Bucharest)

Referee: Coza I. (Rou)


	FCSB		Chindia Târgoviște

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.5
	1.64	3.5	5.75
	1.6	3.55	5.4
	1.65	3.64	5.88
	1.57	3.4	5.8
	1.62	3.64	5.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.36)	3.53 ↓ (4.17)	5.6 ↓ (8.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCSB
57.3%

Draw
26.2%

Chindia Târgoviște
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

22%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

21.4%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FCSB's form might have worsened.

Chindia Târgoviște has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chindia Târgoviște's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FCSB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chindia Târgoviște than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chindia Târgoviște, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	4.5%	31.8%

FCSB - Chindia Târgoviște Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. FCSB will win (votes: 14 - 63.6%). Chindia Târgoviște will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FCSB: 43.5% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group) and 15 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches FCSB won 4.

FCSB is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chindia Târgoviște is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

FCSB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match FCSB is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's FCSB to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 7 head-to-head matches FCSB won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams FCSB won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.08.22	FCSB - DAC Dunajská Streda	1:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
06.08.22	Mioveni - FCSB	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.22	DAC Dunajská Streda - FCSB	0:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
31.07.22	FCSB - U Craiova 1948	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	FCSB - Iberia 1999	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWTW
- FC Chindia Târgoviște
Romanian SuperLiga
07.08.22	Chindia Târgoviște - CFR Cluj	0:2 ✺
29.07.22	Farul Constanța - Chindia Târgoviște	0:0 ✺
25.07.22	Chindia Târgoviște - Hermannstadt	1:1 ✺
18.07.22	Botoșani - Chindia Târgoviște	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Petrolul Ploieşti - Chindia Târgoviște	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
13.02.22	FCSB - Chindia Târgoviște	3:2
01.10.21	Chindia Târgoviște - FCSB	0:1
20.02.21	FCSB - Chindia Târgoviște	1:0
02.11.20	Chindia Târgoviște - FCSB	0:2
22.02.20	FCSB - Chindia Târgoviște	1:1
20.10.19	Chindia Târgoviște - FCSB	1:2
Club Friendly
13.07.17	FCSB - Chindia Târgoviște	3:3

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