Match Info

ROMANIA: LIGA 1 - ROUND 19

Date: 5 December 2022, Monday

Location: Arena Națională (Bucharest)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Prima Sport 1


	FCSB		Mioveni

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	8	Watch
	1.41	4.2	7
	1.34	4.6	9.5
	1.4	4.2	7.2
	1.39	4.56	8.75
	1.36	4.2	8
	1.38	4.55	8	Watch
	1.41	4.4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)	4.34 ↑ (4.26)	7.98 ↓ (8.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCSB
67%

Draw
21.4%

Mioveni
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

21.6%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

20.5%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mioveni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mioveni than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	4.8%	9.5%

FCSB - Mioveni Predictions

Users Predictions: FCSB will win (54 of 63 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.07% – 94.35%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Championship Group) and 16 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches FCSB won 2.

FCSB is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mioveni is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mioveni could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mioveni have a series of home games.

In this match FCSB is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches FCSB won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams FCSB won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
01.12.22	Botoșani - FCSB	2:3 ✺
13.11.22	U Craiova 1948 - FCSB	0:2 ✺
Romanian Cup
10.11.22	Oţelul Galaţi - FCSB	0:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
06.11.22	FCSB - Rapid Bucureşti	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.11.22	FCSB - West Ham United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTWL
- CS Mioveni
Romanian SuperLiga
13.11.22	Mioveni - CFR Cluj	0:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
08.11.22	Mioveni - Botoșani	1:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
04.11.22	Farul Constanța - Mioveni	2:1 ✺
31.10.22	Mioveni - Hermannstadt	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Mioveni - Botoșani	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
06.08.22	Mioveni - FCSB	1:1
Club Friendly
06.07.22	FCSB - Mioveni	1:0
Romanian SuperLiga
19.02.22	Mioveni - FCSB	1:1
Club Friendly
15.01.22	Mioveni - FCSB	0:0
Romanian SuperLiga
16.10.21	FCSB - Mioveni	3:0
Club Friendly
04.07.19	Mioveni - FCSB	0:1
Romanian Cup
14.12.16	Mioveni - FCSB	2:1 penalties

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