Match Info

ROMANIA: Liga 1 - Round 6

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Nationala (Bucharest)

Referee: Coza I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, PrimaPlay, Prima Sport 1
World	Prima+ app


	FCSB		Politehnica Iași

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.1	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4.2	5.75
	1.47	4.33	6
	1.48	4.59	6.26
	1.48	4.51	6	Watch
	1.44	4.2	6
	1.48	4.33	6.29	Watch
	1.47	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.4)	4.32 ↑ (4.2)	6.1 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCSB
63.3%

Draw
21.5%

Politehnica Iași
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

21.7%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

20.3%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Politehnica Iași has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FCSB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Politehnica Iași than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

FCSB - Politehnica Iași Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. FCSB will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Poli Iași will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FCSB: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 28. Pantea A. 30. Ngezana S. 5. Dawa J. 3. Pantiru I. 16. Lixandru M. 8. Sut A. 15. Stefanescu M. 27. Olaru D. (C) 25. Baluta A. 19. Popa D.	88. Fernandez J. (G) 42. Guilherme 3. Samayoa N. 4. Moreira C. 33. Atanaskoski D. 10. Roman A. 37. Bordeianu M. 5. Oum Gouet S. 11. Gheorghe V. 80. Gheorghita A. 22. Kamberi F.
Substitutes
42. Alhassan B. 24. Baeten W. 21. Chiriches V. 2. Cretu V. 18. Edjouma M. 12. Kiki D. 11. Miculescu D. 23. Pandele A. 10. Popescu O. 33. Radunovic R. 7. Tanase F. 99. Vlad A. (G)	1. Ailenei I. (G) 9. Harrison S. 18. Ilie F. 27. Ispas R. 19. Itu C. 8. Mihai L. 14. Miskovic R. 70. Popa D. 20. Stefanovici S. 99. Tailson 7. Teixeira G. 30. Todoroski T.
Coaches
Charalambous E.	Tony

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Bordeianu M. ⚽, Gheorghita A. (A),
36', Olaru D. 🟥,
40', Gheorghita A. 🟨,
45', Dawa J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Stefanescu M. ↓, Miculescu D. ↑,
46', Baluta A. ↓, Baeten W. ↑,
46', Lixandru M. ↓, Alhassan B. ↑,
46', Pantea A. ↓, Popescu O. ↑,
51', Atanaskoski D. 🟨,
60', Gheorghe V. ↓, Tailson ↑,
60', Gheorghita A. ↓, Popa D. ↑,
62', Popa D. ↓, Tanase F. ↑,
82', Tanase F. 🟨,
84', Roman A. ↓, Miskovic R. ↑,
86', Bordeianu M. 🟨,
90', Baeten W. 🟨,
90+2', Kamberi F. ↓, Ispas R. ↑,
90+4', Popescu O. 🟨,
90+6', Fernandez J. 🟨,
90+7', Sut A. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches FCSB won 4.

Recent matches FCSB is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Politehnica Iași is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

FCSB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match FCSB is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches FCSB won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 32-19.

Including matches at home between the teams FCSB won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	FCSB - Sparta Prague	2:3 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
09.08.24	FCSB - Farul Constanța	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.08.24	Sparta Prague - FCSB	1:1 ✺
31.07.24	Maccabi Tel Aviv - FCSB	0:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
26.07.24	FCSB - Oţelul Galaţi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWTWL
- CSM Politehnica Iași
Romanian SuperLiga
12.08.24	Politehnica Iași - FC Dinamo Bucureşti	2:2 ✺
03.08.24	Farul Constanța - Politehnica Iași	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Politehnica Iași - Gloria Buzău	1:2 ✺
19.07.24	Politehnica Iași - Botoșani	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Sepsi OSK - Politehnica Iași	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
19.12.23	Politehnica Iași - FCSB	1:3
20.08.23	FCSB - Politehnica Iași	2:1
30.01.21	FCSB - Politehnica Iași	3:1
27.09.20	Politehnica Iași - FCSB	5:2
03.12.19	Politehnica Iași - FCSB	1:2
18.08.19	FCSB - Politehnica Iași	1:2
25.11.18	Politehnica Iași - FCSB	1:2

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