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Current Win Probability
FH Hafnarfjordur 68.1%
Draw 17.2%
Thor Akureyri 14.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.6%
21.6%
20.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
21.3%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FH Hafnarfjordur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FH Hafnarfjordur's performance.
Thor Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thor Akureyri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FH Hafnarfjordur that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thor Akureyri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
FH Hafnarfjordur - Thor Akureyri Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gudlaugsdottir A. (G) 8. Errington H. 15. Haraldsdottir H. 29. Hauksdottir A. (C) 42. Helgadottir H. 37. Linnet J. 41. Magnusdottir I. 13. Sandoval D. 23. Simonardottir E. B. 5. Smith M. 19. Snorradottir H.
12. Doherty Augur A. (G) 7. Arnadottir A. 14. Arnadottir M. 11. Asgrimsdottir A. (C) 6. Birgisdottir H. 26. Flurey E. 2. Helgadottir A. 5. Hrafnsdottir K. 4. Johannesdottir M. 28. Lapomarda L. 3. Moore E.
Substitutes
2. Bjornsdottir B. 7. Christopher N. 3. Oskarsdottir A. 22. Palmadottir F. 39. Saethorsdottir E. 33. Skuladottir R. 26. Sveinbjornsdottir S. (G) 36. Thorarensen U. 16. Traustadottir A.
25. Asgeirsdottir E. 8. Finnbogadottir B. 1. Johannsdottir H. (G) 22. Jonsdottir H. 20. Kristjansdottir H. 9. Sigurgeirsdottir K. 19. Stefansdottir A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Arnadottir A. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Helgadottir H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Birgisdottir H. 🟨,
55', Hauksdottir A. 🟨,
57', Linnet J. ↓, Oskarsdottir A. ↑,
57', Simonardottir E. B. ↓, Christopher N. ↑,
58', 2 - 1, Magnusdottir I. ⚽, Hauksdottir A. (A),
63', Arnadottir A. ↓, Jonsdottir H. ↑,
65', Helgadottir H. ↓, Bjornsdottir B. ↑,
73', Flurey E. 🟨,
87', Magnusdottir I. ↓, Palmadottir F. ↑,
88', Lapomarda L. ↓, Kristjansdottir H. ↑,
88', Johannesdottir M. ↓, Stefansdottir A. ↑,
Preview
Hafnarfjordur is Qualified for Besta deild Women (Championship Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 3.
Hafnarfjordur is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Thor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Thor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Hafnarfjordur is the obvious favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Hafnarfjordur won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).
Watch
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Gudlaugsdottir A. (G) 
Errington H. 
Sandoval D. 
Christopher N. 
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