What is the expert prediction for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Throttur?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Throttur. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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FH Hafnarfjordur vs Throttur Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, July 09, 2026)

Match Info

Besta deild Women - Round 11

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Kaplakriki (Hafnarfjördur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 2


	FH Hafnarfjordur		Throttur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.60	5.75
	1.32	5.00	5.75	Watch
	1.37	4.60	5.60
	1.38	4.99	6.09	Watch
	1.35	4.40	5.05
	1.42	4.80	6.40
	1.37	4.80	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.7)	4.74 ↑ (3.95)	5.81 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FH Hafnarfjordur
65.6%

Draw
18.9%

Throttur
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.3%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

22.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FH Hafnarfjordur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FH Hafnarfjordur's performance.

Throttur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Throttur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FH Hafnarfjordur than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FH Hafnarfjordur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Throttur than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Throttur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gudlaugsdottir A. (G) 2. Bjornsdottir B. 8. Errington H. 29. Hauksdottir A. (C) 42. Helgadottir H. 10. Hermannsdottir I. 11. Hermannsdottir T. 41. Magnusdottir I. 3. Oskarsdottir A. 13. Sandoval D. 5. Smith M.	1. Swift M. (G) 27. Bergsdottir U. 23. Bjornsdottir S. 14. Czerwien A. 16. Eyjolfsdottir M. 3. Funadottir M. 22. Gudmunsdottir S. 11. Gunnlaugsdottir B. 8. Kjartansdottir A. (C) 5. Kujundzic J. 2. Steinarsdottir S.
Substitutes
12. Birkisdottir E. (G) 7. Christopher N. 4. Fridriksdottir V. 22. Haraldsdottir H. 9. Hlynsdottir B. 37. Linnet J. 39. Saethorsdottir E. 23. Simonardottir E. B. 36. Thorarensen U.	19. Agustsdottir T. 26. Agustsdottir T. 18. Antonsdottir K. 6. Bjorgvinsdottir R. 20. Hafsteinsdottir H. (G) 17. Holm K. 4. Ingvarsdottir H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Czerwien A. ⚽, Bjornsdottir S. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Czerwien A. ⚽, Gunnlaugsdottir B. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Hermannsdottir I. ⚽,
33', Hermannsdottir I. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 2 - 2, Hermannsdottir I. ⚽,
35', 3 - 2, Hermannsdottir I. ⚽, Helgadottir H. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Kjartansdottir A. ↓, Agustsdottir T. ↑,
47', 4 - 2, Hermannsdottir I. ⚽, Magnusdottir I. (A),
57', 5 - 2, Hermannsdottir I. ⚽,
61', Gunnlaugsdottir B. ↓, Ingvarsdottir H. ↑,
61', Gudmunsdottir S. ↓, Agustsdottir T. ↑,
64', Errington H. ↓, Hlynsdottir B. ↑,
64', Helgadottir H. ↓, Haraldsdottir H. ↑,
69', 6 - 2, Sandoval D. ⚽,
70', Magnusdottir I. ↓, Thorarensen U. ↑,
79', Hermannsdottir T. ↓, Fridriksdottir V. ↑,
79', Hermannsdottir I. ↓, Saethorsdottir E. ↑,
79', Kujundzic J. ↓, Bjorgvinsdottir R. ↑,
79', Bergsdottir U. ↓, Holm K. ↑,
81', 6 - 3, Agustsdottir T. ⚽,
87', Agustsdottir T. 🟨,
90+4', 7 - 3, Hlynsdottir B. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild Women (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild Women (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 2.

Hafnarfjordur is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Throttur has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hafnarfjordur is the obvious favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Hafnarfjordur won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hafnarfjordur won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).

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Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hafnarfjordur W	11	8	2	1	37:16	21	26
5	Throttur W	11	4	1	6	14:17	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FH Hafnarfjordur Women
Icelandic Besta deild Women
23.06.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Valur	1:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup Women
17.06.26	Vestmannaeyjar - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:2 ET ✺
Icelandic Besta deild Women
13.06.26	Vikingur - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:5 ✺
30.05.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Fram	6:2 ✺
25.05.26	Breiðablik - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWWW
- Throttur Women
Icelandic Besta deild Women
22.06.26	Thor Akureyri - Throttur	2:0 ✺
Icelandic Cup Women
18.06.26	Throttur - Vikingur	1:0 ✺
Icelandic Besta deild Women
13.06.26	Throttur - Vestmannaeyjar	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	Valur - Throttur	0:1 ✺
25.05.26	Throttur - Stjarnan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta deild Women
30.04.26	Throttur - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:1
05.10.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Throttur	4:0
28.08.25	FH Hafnarfjordur - Throttur	3:0
17.05.25	Throttur - FH Hafnarfjordur	4:1
05.10.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - Throttur	0:3
20.07.24	Throttur - FH Hafnarfjordur	2:1
08.05.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - Throttur	1:0

FH Hafnarfjordur - Throttur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide