The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FK Humenné 26.9%
Draw 25.8%
Zlaté Moravce-Vrable 47.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.2%
25.8%
45.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
25.7%
45.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FK Humenné has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Zlaté Moravce-Vrable has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FK Humenné than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlaté Moravce-Vrable than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
FK Humenné - Zlaté Moravce Vrable Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Breda M. (G) 19. Komjaty I. 3. Lazar P. 29. Matas V. 40. Mateus 16. Sitarcik F. 24. Straka J. 8. Vasil C. (C) 77. Vyshnevskyi O. 26. Zahradnik Z. 17. Zlacky M.
41. Vasil P. (G) 21. Adamkovic D. 26. Bagin S. 77. Bortoli L. 11. Bugar D. 3. Buhaj R. 28. Bukata M. 14. Duga D. (C) 22. Konopka M. 17. Kutik D. 9. Pudil A.
Substitutes
22. Bamburak J. P. 9. Bega M. 13. Karaj E. (G) 18. Kost S. 14. Ninac S. 23. Sarr M. 5. Zincak L.
89. Halo M. 10. Kucharik S. 8. Lachowicz O. 16. Lipovsky M. 25. Ousaye A. 13. Radenkovic A. 20. Sonko S. 31. Tresl M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Mateus 🟨,
12', Matas V. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Pudil A. ⚽,
40', Buhaj R. 🟨,
43', Kutik D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bugar D. ↓, Lachowicz O. ↑,
53', Komjaty I. 🟨,
57', Kutik D. ↓, Halo M. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Matas V. ⚽,
66', Komjaty I. ↓, Ninac S. ↑,
67', Vyshnevskyi O. 🟨,
69', Bortoli L. 🟨,
70', Bortoli L. ↓, Ousaye A. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Sitarcik F. ⚽,
75', Mateus ↓, Sarr M. ↑,
79', Sitarcik F. ↓, Bamburak J. P. ↑,
79', Matas V. ↓, Zincak L. ↑,
85', Vasil C. 🟨,
88', Buhaj R. ↓, Kucharik S. ↑,
88', Duga D. ↓, Sonko S. ↑,
90+3', Konopka M. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 12th).
FK Humenné is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Zlaté Moravce have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
FK Humenné may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Zlaté Moravce holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, FK Humenné has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:5 (averaging 0:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for FK Humenné against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Z. Moravce-Vrable
14
3
4
7
14:19
-5
13
14
FK Humenne
14
3
3
8
12:23
-11
12
Last Results with these Odds
Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 45.93%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.