Match Info

Youth League - Round 17

Date: 1 August 2025, Friday


	Fakel Voronezh U19		Baltika U19

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.5	6.39
	1.45	4.3	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.38)	4.4 ↓ (5)	6.32 ↓ (6.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel Voronezh U19
64.4%

Draw
21%

Baltika U19
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

18.5%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

18.5%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel Voronezh U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

The chances for Baltika U19 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel Voronezh U19 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Baltika U19 aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Chikhradze S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 2 - 0, Goryainov A. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Fakel U19 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Baltika U19's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Fakel U19 is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fakel U19 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Fakel U19 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh U19
Russian Youth League
25.07.25	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Dynamo Moscow U19	3:4 ✺
18.07.25	Akhmat Grozny U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	3:0 ✺
11.07.25	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Rostov U19	3:2 ✺
04.07.25	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Krasnodar U19	0:0 ✺
27.06.25	Spartak Moscow U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LLWTL
- Baltika U19
Russian Youth League
25.07.25	Baltika U19 - Sochi U19	2:2 ✺
18.07.25	Baltika U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	1:1 ✺
11.07.25	Dynamo Moscow U19 - Baltika U19	0:0 ✺
04.07.25	Rostov U19 - Baltika U19	0:0 ✺
27.06.25	Baltika U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 58 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
14.03.25	Baltika U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	1:3
08.11.24	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Baltika U19	5:0
27.09.24	Baltika U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	0:1

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