Match Info

Youth League - Round 9

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Fakel Voronezh U19		CSKA Moscow U19

	1	X	2
	8.3	4.9	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.3 ↑ (7.55)	4.9 ↑ (4.75)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel Voronezh U19
11%

Draw
18.6%

CSKA Moscow U19
70.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12%

19.1%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.5%

18.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel Voronezh U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

CSKA Moscow U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel Voronezh U19 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow U19 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Fakel Voronezh U19 - CSKA Moscow U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', Chernomorets D. N. 🟥,
16', 0 - 1, Pasichnik I. (Penalty Awarded),
20', 0 - 2, Tarasenko I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
70', 1 - 2, Elezyan G. ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, Tarasenko I. ⚽,
84', 1 - 4, Shiveobi R. ⚽,
87', 1 - 5, Korneev V. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Youth League (Relegation) and 1).

Fakel U19 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

CSKA U19 is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, CSKA U19 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel U19 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fakel U19 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	CSKA Moscow U19	27	21	2	4	89:36	53	65
16	Fakel Voronezh U19	27	5	4	18	30:57	-27	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh U19
Russian Youth League
01.05.26	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	2:3 ✺
24.04.26	Dynamo Moscow U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Nizhny Novgorod U19	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Almaz-Antey U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWL
- CSKA Moscow U19
Russian Youth League
01.05.26	CSKA Moscow U19 - Dynamo Moscow U19	3:1 ✺
24.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	0:5 ✺
17.04.26	CSKA Moscow U19 - Almaz-Antey U19	2:3 ✺
10.04.26	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	CSKA Moscow U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
15.08.25	Fakel Voronezh U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	2:3
04.04.25	CSKA Moscow U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	1:0
12.07.24	CSKA Moscow U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	7:2
12.04.24	Fakel Voronezh U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	0:1
01.12.23	CSKA Moscow U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	2:0

Fakel Voronezh U19 - CSKA Moscow U19