Match Info

Youth League - Round 9

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	Fakel Voronezh U19		Sochi U19

	1	X	2
	2.17	3.6	2.62
	2.33	3.62	2.6
	2.8	3.35	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.75)	3.52 (3.52)	2.52 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel Voronezh U19
37.7%

Draw
26%

Sochi U19
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.2%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

26.4%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel Voronezh U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Sochi U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel Voronezh U19 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi U19 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, Chekhobakh M. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Youth League (Relegation)).

Fakel U19 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Sochi U19 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fakel U19 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh U19
Russian Youth League
02.05.25	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	3:2 ✺
25.04.25	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	0:4 ✺
18.04.25	Rubin Kazan U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Fakel Voronezh U19 - Krylya Sovetov Samara U19	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	CSKA Moscow U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- FC Sochi U19
Russian Youth League
02.05.25	Sochi U19 - Dynamo Moscow U19	1:1 ✺
25.04.25	Rostov U19 - Sochi U19	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Sochi U19 - Akhmat Grozny U19	4:0 ✺
11.04.25	Krasnodar U19 - Sochi U19	8:1 ✺
04.04.25	Sochi U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
27.10.23	Sochi U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	2:1
11.11.22	Sochi U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	3:1

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