Match Info

AFC Challenge League - Round 2

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Morodok Techo National Stadium (Phnom Penh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cambodia	BTV New
Mongolia	MNB Sports


	Falcons		Manila Digger

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.62	3.7	2.18
	3.93	3.77	1.76	Watch
	2.66	3.62	2.34	Watch
	2.75	3.8	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.42)	3.72 ↑ (3.35)	2.14 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falcons
31.2%

Draw
25.1%

Manila Digger
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Falcons's form might have worsened.

Manila Digger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manila Digger's recent form is better than expected.

Falcons - Manila Digger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Batmagnai S. (G) 23. Enkh-Orgil O. 3. Thiago Tomais 13. Otgontsagaan S. 77. Ferreira A. (C) 98. Erdene-Ochir K. 11. Baatartsogt N. 7. Myagmar B. 20. Adriel 15. Toyoda T. 70. Ayvazov R.	16. Njie O. (G) 22. Taningco Z. 91. Sambou D. 5. Joof M. 6. Ashley D. 14. Nishioka K. 12. Manneh M. (C) 15. Gai P. O. 21. Tafem D. 10. Ceesay S. 11. Touray B.
Substitutes
6. Bat-Erdene B. 5. Bat-Erdene C. 26. Campos Olavarria P. P. 4. Dulguun S. 33. Khandaa T. (G) 9. Maratkhan J. 8. Marlon Santos 18. Munkh-Orgil Y. 16. Sodmunkh A. 14. Ulziibayar T.	1. Asong M. (G) 2. Barsanilla J. 27. Clarino O. 77. Diao S. 29. Felongco S. 28. Gasic N. (G) 17. Jarvis J. 7. Kvist W. 98. Limbo T. 18. Regala D. 8. Ugwu E. 9. Watanabe Y.
Coaches
Ferreira A.	Versales K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Gai P. O. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Ceesay S. ⚽, Gai P. O. (A),
40', Erdene-Ochir K. ↓, Marlon Santos ↑,
45', Tafem D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Ferreira A. 🟨,
56', Enkh-Orgil O. 🟨,
58', Ashley D. ↓, Clarino O. ↑,
58', Tafem D. ↓, Felongco S. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Gai P. O. ⚽,
63', Enkh-Orgil O. ↓, Dulguun S. ↑,
63', Ayvazov R. ↓, Sodmunkh A. ↑,
74', Myagmar B. ↓, Bat-Erdene C. ↑,
74', Baatartsogt N. ↓, Maratkhan J. ↑,
78', Gai P. O. ↓, Watanabe Y. ↑,
78', Felongco S. 🟨,
90+3', Taningco Z. ↓, Jarvis J. ↑,
90+4', Ceesay S. ↓, Diao S. ↑,

Preview

Manila Digger is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Manila Digger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Manila Digger has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Falcons
AFC Challenge League
26.10.25	Svay Rieng - Falcons	3:0 ✺
Mongolian Premier League
04.10.25	Falcons - Central Stallions	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Ulaanbaatar - Falcons	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Falcons - Deren	2:0 ✺
AFC Challenge League
12.08.25	Falcons - Taichung FUTURO	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTWW
- Manila Digger
Philippines PFL
19.10.25	Manila Digger - Cebu FC	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Manila Digger - Tuloy	8:2 ✺
27.09.25	Manila Digger - One Taguig	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Manila Digger - Maharlika Manila	3:2 ✺
14.09.25	Manila Digger - Stallion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWWT

Falcons - Manila Digger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide