Match Info

GFA League - Round 7

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Falcons		Medina United

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.21	3.27	Watch
	2.63	2.38	3
	2.63	2.5	3
	2.66	2.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.23)	2.4 ↓ (2.85)	3.07 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falcons
33.1%

Draw
37.6%

Medina United
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41%

32.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

31.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Falcons's form might have worsened.

Medina United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falcons than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Falcons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Medina United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Falcons - Medina United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Falcons has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Medina United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Falcons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Falcons is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Medina United	30	16	6	8	34:25	9	54
10	Falcons	30	7	14	9	19:24	-5	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falcons FC Gambia
Gambian GFA League
13.01.26	TMT - Falcons	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Falcons - Gambia Ports Authority	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Banjul Hawks - Falcons	0:0 ✺
28.12.25	Gambian Dutch Lions - Falcons	2:0 ✺
22.12.25	Falcons - Bombada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTLT
- Medina United FA
Gambian GFA League
13.01.26	Medina United - BST Galaxy	0:1 ✺
09.01.26	Brikama United - Medina United	1:0 ✺
05.01.26	Medina United - Samger	0:0 ✺
29.12.25	Medina United - Team Rhino	2:1 ✺
23.12.25	TMT - Medina United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLTWW

Falcons - Medina United