Match Info

GFA League - Round 21

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Falcons		TMT

	1	X	2
	2.01	2.75	4.33
	2.03	2.66	4.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.97)	2.71 ↓ (2.77)	4.32 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falcons
45.2%

Draw
33.7%

TMT
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

33%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

31.2%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

TMT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falcons than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TMT than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Falcons - TMT Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Falcons is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

TMT is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Falcons is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Falcons won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).

Including home match between the teams, Falcons won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Falcons	30	7	14	9	19:24	-5	35
14	TMT	30	7	12	11	20:29	-9	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falcons FC Gambia
Gambian GFA League
13.04.26	Gambia Ports Authority - Falcons	0:1 ✺
08.04.26	Falcons - Banjul Hawks	0:0 ✺
24.03.26	Falcons - Gambian Dutch Lions	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Bombada - Falcons	2:2 ✺
06.03.26	Greater Tomorrow - Falcons	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTTTW
- TMT FA
Gambian GFA League
13.04.26	TMT - BST Galaxy	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Brikama United - TMT	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	TMT - Samger	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Medina United - TMT	2:1 ✺
05.03.26	TMT - Gambia Ports Authority	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Gambian GFA League
13.01.26	TMT - Falcons	0:0
09.02.25	TMT - Falcons	0:2
22.12.23	Falcons - TMT	0:0

Falcons - TMT: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide