Match Info

Pro Liga - Round 18

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday


	FarDU		Orol Nukus

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.02
	2.9	3.4	2.14
	2.93	3.39	2.19	Watch
	2.97	3.3	2.17
	2.95	3.4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.4)	3.34 ↓ (3.4)	2.1 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FarDU
30.3%

Draw
27%

Orol Nukus
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26.1%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FarDU has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FarDU's form might have worsened.

Orol Nukus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orol Nukus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FarDU than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FarDU, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orol Nukus than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orol Nukus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

FarDU - Orol Nukus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Kalmagambetov R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 1, Niyazmetov O. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

FarDU has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Orol is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, FarDU won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, FarDU won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Aral	20	15	4	1	42:13	29	49
4	FarDU	21	11	7	3	39:29	10	40

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK FarDU
Uzbek Pro Liga
28.08.26	Gazalkent - FarDU	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	FarDU - Shurtan Guzar	3:1 ✺
14.08.26	Jayxun - FarDU	0:0 ✺
04.08.26	FarDU - TerDU	5:1 ✺
31.07.26	Yaypan Fergana - FarDU	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWTWW
- FK Orol Nukus
Uzbek Pro Liga
27.08.26	Orol Nukus - Kattaqurgon	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Olimpik-Mobiuz - Orol Nukus	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Orol Nukus - BuxDU	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Orol Nukus - Metallurg Bekabad	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	Gazalkent - Orol Nukus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek Pro Liga
27.10.25	FarDU - Orol Nukus	1:1
26.08.25	Orol Nukus - FarDU	2:0
08.06.25	FarDU - Orol Nukus	0:1

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