Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato Nacional U19 - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Farense U19		Casa Pia U19

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.65	3.6
	2.16	3.34	3.1
	1.96	3.58	3.34
	1.97	3.52	3.62
	1.83	3.65	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.48)	3.55 ↓ (4.18)	3.45 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense U19
47.3%

Draw
26%

Casa Pia U19
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

21.8%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

21.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farense U19's form might have worsened.

Casa Pia U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casa Pia U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense U19 than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farense U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Pia U19 than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casa Pia U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Farense U19 - Casa Pia U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Farense U19 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Casa Pia U19 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Farense U19 is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Farense U19 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Farense U19 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
01.02.25	Farense U19 - Mafra U19	1:5 ✺
25.01.25	SC Lusitânia U19 - Farense U19	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Sporting Lisbon U19 - Farense U19	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Farense U19 - Belenenses U19	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Torreense U19 - Farense U19	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW
- Casa Pia U19
Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
02.02.25	Casa Pia U19 - SC Lusitânia U19	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Belenenses U19 - Casa Pia U19	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Académico de Viseu U19 - Casa Pia U19	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Casa Pia U19 - Mafra U19	1:1 ✺
21.12.24	Tondela U19 - Casa Pia U19	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Campeonato Nacional U19
24.11.24	Casa Pia U19 - Farense U19	0:1
18.08.24	Farense U19 - Casa Pia U19	1:1

Farense U19 - Casa Pia U19: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide