The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Farense U23 44.4%
Draw 27.4%
Leiria U23 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45%
29.2%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
27.7%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Farense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Leiria U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense U23 than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria U23 than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Farense U23 - Leiria U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
65', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group: ) and 14th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: )).
In recent outings, Farense U23 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Leiria U23 has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Leiria U23 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Leiria U23 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Farense U23 holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Farense U23 has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 0.5:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Farense U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).
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