The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leiria U23 38.5%
Draw 26.4%
Gil Vicente U23 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
25.7%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
25.1%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Gil Vicente U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
The ML Model estimate for Leiria U23 aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente U23 than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Leiria U23 - Gil Vicente U23 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Maia G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 10th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: ) and 17th in the Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage: )).
In recent outings, Leiria U23 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Gil Vicente U23 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Leiria U23 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:6 (averaging 1.5:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leiria U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.
Portugal
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