Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Svealand - Round 21

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Farsta		Smedby

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.20	5.25
	1.5	4.25	4.9
	1.52	3.99	4.9
	1.5	4.25	5.4	Watch
	1.5	3.95	4.85
	1.34	4.3	8.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.8)	4.16 ↑ (3.7)	5.58 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsta
61.8%

Draw
21.9%

Smedby
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

23.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

22.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farsta's performance.

Smedby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Smedby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farsta than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farsta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smedby than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smedby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Farsta - Smedby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
75', 1 - 0, ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 6).

Farsta has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Smedby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Farsta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Farsta is considered a favorite.

We predict that Farsta will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Farsta won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Farsta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 4.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Farsta	24	14	4	6	49:26	23	46
7	Smedby	24	10	6	8	41:33	8	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FOC Farsta
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
06.09.26	Forward - Farsta	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Farsta - Nacka FC	4:1 ✺
23.08.26	Örebro Syrianska - Farsta	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Farsta - Nyköping	3:0 ✺
08.08.26	Haninge - Farsta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWT
- Smedby AIS
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
05.09.26	Nacka FC - Smedby	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Smedby - Forward	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Syrianska - Smedby	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Smedby - Eker Örebro	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Karlslund - Smedby	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Svealand
30.05.26	Smedby - Farsta	1:1
27.09.25	Smedby - Farsta	1:0
29.05.25	Farsta - Smedby	2:1
06.05.23	Farsta - Smedby	7:2

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